The Limitations of Climate Modeling
On the absurd limitations of climate models.
This is a really fantastic post explaining the constraints that climate models operate under and why their predictive power is poor.
Well worth reading and pretty accessible really.
Money quote:
The climate system is chaotic which essentially means any model will be a poor predictor of the future – you can’t even make a model of a lottery ball machine (which is a comparatively a much simpler and smaller interacting system) and use it to predict the outcome of the next draw.